Investment Thesis

Investment Thesis Tracking Software

Capture your conviction at the moment of purchase. Structured thesis cards with bull/bear/base cases, custom KPIs, and exit criteria — all attached to your holdings. Never forget why you own a position.

Your Thesis Is Lost in a Doc Somewhere

You forget why you bought. Three months later, you're staring at a position with no idea what the thesis was. Your conviction rationale lives in scattered docs, broken spreadsheets, or worse — your memory.

Structured Thesis Cards Attached to Every Position

  • Investment thesis template with structured bull case, bear case, and base case — compiled into a single view
  • Thesis cards attach directly to portfolio positions — see your rationale alongside your holdings
  • Track custom KPIs per holding: revenue growth, NRR, TAM penetration, and any metric that matters to your thesis
  • AI-powered research agent synthesizes earnings data, SEC filings, and market signals to keep your thesis current

How It Works

1

Create Your Investment Thesis

Use our guided flow to build a structured thesis. Select your criteria, let the AI research agent gather data, and compile your bull/bear/base case automatically.

2

Attach to Your Holdings

Link thesis cards to portfolio positions. See your conviction rationale alongside live price data and performance metrics.

3

Track Automatically

Scheduled tracking monitors your KPIs, alerts you when conditions change, and prompts periodic thesis reviews so your reasoning stays current.

Frequently Asked Questions

  • How do you write an investment thesis?

    Start with your conviction: why do you believe this asset will appreciate? Structure it into a bull case (what goes right), bear case (what goes wrong), and base case (most likely outcome). Add 3-5 key metrics you'll track and define your exit criteria. Vexton's AI research agent helps you build this automatically from earnings data, SEC filings, and market signals.

  • What should an investment thesis include?

    A strong investment thesis includes: a clear bull/bear/base case, specific KPIs tied to your conviction (revenue growth, NRR, TAM penetration), pre-defined exit criteria, and a review schedule. Vexton's thesis templates include all of these fields with AI-powered suggestions, so you capture your complete rationale for every position.

  • When should you update or invalidate your investment thesis?

    Update your thesis after any material event: earnings reports, management changes, competitive shifts, or macro developments that affect your key assumptions. Invalidate it when your bear case materializes or your core metrics deteriorate beyond your pre-set thresholds. Vexton tracks these signals automatically and prompts you when it's time to re-evaluate.

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